Strongest vs Nacional Potosi Betting Tips – Bolivia: Match counting towards the 23rd round of the Apertura phase from the Bolivian Championship, at the Hernando Siles Stadium in La Paz.
Strongest vs Nacional Potosi Thursday, December 24, 2020. The Strongest lost their lead to Bolivar, after their oscillation of results over the last rounds.
The team comes from a defeat away from home against Royal Pari, a team that also fights in the top spots of the league table.
Recently they have also lost away from home, against Vinto, and what came to soften the damage was their win in the direct duel against Bolivar, at home by the final score of 2-1.
In fact, playing at their home soil has been something fundamental for The Strongest, because they have currently the second best home campaign in the league, they won there against their direct opponent, and built a sequence of 9 straight wins, all of this at home.
During this period they have conceded only 3 goals, and scored a total of 34. With 55 goals scored, they are currently the best offense in the Bolivian league, and they have also the second top goalscorer of the competition, the striker Reynoso, who has already scored a total of 17 goals so far.
They are a high offensive volume team, especially against teams who play with a more reactive model away from home. They use their wingers very well, they possess two strikers of great use, and they have a pretty objective game, without much unproductive ball possession.
Nacional Potosi, on the other hand, currently occupy the 7th position of the league table with 33 points won so far, and they need a perfect campaign in order to try to secure a place in the Copa Libertadores. They are a team who has not shown itself dominant throughout the season, as they have currently a quite humble record of 9 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses.
They have the third worst campaign of the league as visitors. They were not able to win a single game in 11 matches played in this condition, with a record of 4 draws and 7 defeats and conceding a total of 20 of their 28 goals conceded so far when playing away from home.
The sequence is a pretty good one, they achieved 3 wins in 4 matches, but all of them acting at home. Besides, they haven’t faced any team who fights at the top places of the league yet.
They have beaten The Strongest at home by 3-1, but when playing as visitors they were defeated against Bolivar (4-0), Wilsterman (2-1), Royal Pari (4-1) and drew against Always Ready (2-2).
They are a team who concedes a lot of goals away from home, because even though they have a fragile defense, they still try to attack and they also play in a system where they go out to offense through the flanks, however they are not able to control their opponents, or reduce the pace of the game.
It is a little like a boxing match, where the two of them hit each other until one falls. When the match is played away from home, the one who usually falls is Nacional.
The Strongest is one of the league’s best home teams, and they will face here one of the worst visiting teams in the league. In addition, The Strongest are the most effective attack, and Nacional have conceded more than 70% of their goals when playing away from home.
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Strongest vs Nacional Potosi Betting Tips:
Obviously the home team will be more pushy, and Nacional will counter-attack. The odds for the win are very low, and a handicap in favor of Nacional seems a very risky bet to me.
Therefore, we will increase the odd by shortening the period, and bet on an early victory of the home owners. If the logic happens, it will be a quiet win.
PREDICTION AND BETTING TIP