SPAL vs Sampdoria – Serie A :SPAL hosts Sampdoria on a duel between two teams at the bottom of the league table.
SPAL is without Fares for this match and they have D’Alessandro, Di Francesco and Jankovic in doubt.
On the side of Sampdoria, only 2 players are in doubt Linetty and Thorsby.
For this match I believe that the double chance in favour of SPAL is the safer option, that’s because despite this looking like a three-way affair, the truth is that if we analyze the moment of form of both teams, we see that SPAL’s win rate at home isn’t that bad, especially if we compare it to Sampdoria’s win rate away from home.
Historically, SPAL and Sampdoria have met twice at SPAL’s stadium in the last two years and in both matches, we had both teams scoring, the “Over” line surpassed and a victory for each side, but that was at a time where SPAL was clearly inferior to Sampdoria, which is not exactly the case right now.
SPAL has played 6 official matches at home, having won 3 of them and lost only 2, which for a team that is in penultimate place of the league table is remarkable and shows they take good advantage of their matches at home.
On the pre-season, SPAL has played 6 friendlies at home, winning 5 and drawing 1.
Sampdoria is awful playing away from home.
They have 5 points in the league, all of them conquered at home and away from home they already have 5 losses in 5 matches played in the Serie A, always conceding a minimum of 2 goals per match.
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My bet will be on the double chance in favour of SPAL, that at home should pose serious difficulties to Sampdoria that isn’t able to find itself away from home.
PREDICTION TIP |
ODD |
| Spal AH +0,5 | 1.49 |
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