Serbia vs Georgia – 2018 World Cup Qualification:On the last round of this European Qualification stage and Serbia, who was favourite, is still yet to ensure their qualification…
Despite already having ensured the 2nd place which grants them access to the play-offs, the team from the Balkans benefits from the fact Wales will face Ireland on this final round,
with them being the 2nd and 3rd placed teams in this group respectively. To avoid finishing 2nd, they just have to win this match at home against Georgia.
The hosts have a National team with a lot of technical quality and players
who currently play on the top leagues in the world, such as Matic (Man United, Kolarov (Roma) amongst some others who despite playing in second tier teams, still have a lot of quality like Tadic (Southampton) or Rukavina (Villareal):
We have a team with a lot of quality here but they are a bit lacklustre as a team.
They have been showing some tactical weaknesses that aren’t allowing them to get to the next level, despite having so many good players (although they have been improving since the arrival of their current coach Slavoljub Musli, being very close to qualifying for Russia’s World Cup).
In my opinion, this team’s biggest strength is their attack. They have an offensive process who goes mainly through Matic,
which, added to the quality of the players up front, makes this team a tough team to stop, since they’ve scored in all of the 9 matches of this qualification stage so far.
In total, they have already scored 19 goals, with 9 of them being on the 4 matches they played at home, which results in an average of 2.25 goals per match at home.
On the other hand, their defensive process isn’t crisp and this is one of their weaknesses.
Sometimes their offensive impetus creates a lot of spaces on their defensive sector which, considering their goalkeeper Vladimir Stojkovic,
that I don’t think has the same quality as the rest of this squad, makes them concede goals with frequency.
In total, they have conceded 10 goals in 9 matches. That’s a negative record and if we check, we can see that they’ve conceded against several second-tier teams like Wales, Ireland, Austria, Georgia and Moldova.
If we don’t consider the matches against Moldova here (that is because they are in last place of the group, are very limited and can’t compete with the other teams in the group, not even Georgia)
we will see that they have conceded 10 goals in 7 matches, which results on a average of 1.43, which is a lot for a team like this, especially considering the group they are one.
As for absences, there is nothing to report, so we’ll certainly see Serbia in full strength.
On the other hand, we’ll have Georgia, who, despite not having any big players and having a very weak side when compared to Serbia’s.,
still have some quality players who play in good European clubs such as Tornike Okriashvili who plays on the midfield for the Russians of Krasnodar, or Jano Ananidze
who is also midfielder, playing for the Russian champions of Spartak Moscow. However, on the called-up lost for this match, there are 7 players who play on the league Georgian league.
We can’t ask much from this National team, who has a clear lack of quality but also have a reasonable squad and a cohesive one, despite having 5 draws and 4 losses on the 9 matches played so far.
This Georgia team hasn’t been battered yet (with their heaviest loss being curiously a 1-3 at home, against Serbia). They either lost by 1 or got a draw with goals.
Despite having a fragile defence who conceded in every match, Georgia have a consistent attack that only failed to score in two occasions (Ireland and Wales).
Serbia vs Georgia – Betting Tip and Prediction:
The key point of analysing is this team’s motivation going into this match and the fact they haven’t been able to win a single match yet.
That’s the key point of the analysis for the visitors, which is much more important than any statistical data, because the team is already out of the World Cup for a long time and they will have here the ideal opportunity to create a surprise.
I don’t think that will happen but what it is certain is that the Georgians will go into this match without any pressure and they will surely look to score
Well if on one hand we have Georgia who is looking for a good result and looking to score in order to close out this qualification stage, On the other hand,
we have a national team with a lot of offensive quality which means that, if they are able to avoid a TD, he can certainly punish the opponents.
|Over 2.5 Goals||