The Match: Face-off between two teams who are still fighting for the wildcard this season.
Both have a small chance of getting it due to what they presented during the whole season.
But if any of them are able to string together some wins, they can still dream with playing in the post-season. This way, I believe in a close match until the end, with none of these teams risking anything, because they should be afraid of compromising the rest of the season.
Kansas City Royals: Not much is left from the team that won the league 2 years ago, and their re-build is being well-thought.
At the beginning of the season, most people wouldn’t even imagine that at this point of the season, the Royals would still have a chance to play in the post-season.
However, after a surprising July and start of August, they have something to play for, although they need some of their key players in the line-up to keep producing.
Royals return home after getting swept by the Indians, much due to the lack of production of their offense, who spent the 3 matches without getting a single run.
Jakob Junis is the chosen pitcher for the game. The young prospect has been showing some instability, usual from the rookies, alternating between great matches, like the last one against Colorado, and matches where he struggles, like he did against the Indians, at home.
Playing at home the pitcher has better stats, with a 4.05 ERA, when compared to his 5.23 when playing away from the Kauffman Stadium.
What causes that big difference? When he plays as a visitor, his number of FB/HR rises absurdly, but this night he will face a team that has dropped their production drastically on extra-hits, only managing to survive on good nights from Kevin Kiermaier and Steven Souza Jr., which are exactly 2 players that struggle with sliders, which is Junis’ main breaking ball.
Tampa Bay Rays: Everyone knows how hard it is for the Rays to reach the playoffs. Like it wasn’t enough to be in the same division as two of the richest franchises in the MLB, they were also unfortunate to suffer from some injuries over the course of the season.
However, we need to highlight that their attack, despite being the 8th least scoring attack in the MLB, can produce a lot considering their lack of quality players. The line-up without Souza Jr., Dickerson, Longotia, Kiermaier and Morrison is totally unrecognizable and without one of them, they are a lot less effective.
That offensive “weakness” becomes even more painful when the pitcher can’t do a good job. The proof for that is the fact that the top 5 most played pitchers all have an ERA lower than 5, with 3 of them having an ERA lower than 4, which shows us their lack of prowess when they need to score runs.
Tonight’s pitcher is Alex Cobb, who is returning to the MLB for his first effective season after his injury and few matches last season.
He has great numbers, but I think these numbers could be even better, hadn’t it been for some blackouts, where he faced extremely strong teams offensively, such as Houston, that he faced last month for example.
His ERA shows us that, with his 3.69, HR/9 1.07 being a good demonstration of his strength, even in the American League.
Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays – Betting Tip and Prediction:
Despite being a lively match, I believe that the starters will dictate the pace of the game against two teams with a line-up that isn’t very effective at bat.
Lastly, I believe that yesterday’s match can’t serve as a indicator for tonight’s match, due to the difference in quality between the pitchers.
This way, I believe that the Under odds are maladjusted.
PREDICTION AND BETTING TIP
|Under 9.5 Total Runs||