Genoa vs Sampdoria – Serie A : Genoa’s derby on this 12th round of the Serie A. A match filled with passion and rivalry…
And where there is never a clear favourite. Both teams share the same stadium and on this exciting match,
I expect a lot of goals.
Sampdoria is on a better position in the league table and they have been one of the good surprises of the season on the Serie A, while
Genoa is on the lower half of the table, fighting to avoid relegation.
I don’t like to pick winners on a derby, I prefer to bet on goals.
In my opinion the most valuable bet for this match is Sampdoria’s amount of goals.
The team managed by Marco Giampaolo sits in 6th place at the moment, close to the Europa League spots and with one less game, inclusively being ahead of AC Milan, Fiorentina, Torino and Atalanta.
It is in fact a great campaign that Samp is having and with an excellent playing quality, with a very classy and attacking style.
In fact, they are currently the 4th best attack of the competition with 22 goals in 10 rounds, having battered Chievo 4-1 on the last round.
Samp is the best team playing at home, having 5 wins in 5 matches. Here, playing as visitors, it doesn’t really matter, because they will play on the same stadium.
I should also mention that on those 5 matches they’ve scored a remarkable amount of 16 goals.
A curious statistic is the fact that Samp has always scored 2 or more goals on 4 of their last 5 matches, which proves they are clearly inspired on the attacking front.
On the 10 matches played so far, they only failed to score twice.
The star has been the midfielder Torreira, an Uruguayan youngster who is already being targeted by the biggest Italian clubs.
They also have Quagliarella and Zapata up front, and they’ve scored several goals as well. They have no absences going into this match.
As for Genoa, they are one of the worst defences of this competition, having 17 goals conceded and currently occupying one of spots on the relegation zone.
On this derby they should want to give out a good reply and for that they need to try to score and get the win, which will open some spaces for Sampdoria. In my opinion, the pressure is all on Genoa.
Genoa vs Sampdoria – Betting Tip and Prediction:
They are coming off 2 consecutive losses, but they are very fragile on the defensive aspects.
At home, Genoa hasn’t won yet and they’ve already conceded 12 goals, which adding to the analysis I made to Samp, means it is very likely for the “visitors” to be able to score at least 2 goals.
Last season, Samp won both Genoa derbies.
In my opinion, this is a highly risky match to pick a winner, despite Samp’s excellent moment of form.
I believe that, much like the other Genoa’s big matches against Lazio (2-3) and against Juve (2-4), we will have a goal fest.
The bet with most value for me is really Samp to score at least 2 goals on this match, because of everything I’ve said above.
They are in excellent form, while Genoa is the opposite. If by any chance Sampdoria score first, things can get ugly here.
|Sampdoria – Team Goals Over 1.5||