Deportivo Lara vs Independiente – Copa Libertadores : I confess I’m a little bit surprised with the odds for Independiente in this match.
The Argentinian team is in the middle of a very good season, doing very well on the Argentinian SuperLiga, winning the Copa Sudamericana and losing in the final of the Recopa to Grêmio (Copa Libertadores’ winner)
on a very close encounter, with 2 draws and a defeat on penalties. This is also a team that has won the Copa Libertadores 7 times, against a Venezuelan club that is not very traditional, even domestically, and that didn’t get off to a good start in 2018.
Deportivo Lara: The Venezuelan club is without a doubt the biggest underdog of group 7 and, for most analysts,
they can even serve as the difference-maker between the other 3 clubs, inasmuch as whoever fails to win both matches against Lara might be at serious risk of not advancing onto the next stage.
Current 2nd place of the weak Venezuelan league, the team has played 5 official matches in 2018 with 1 victory, 3 draws and 1 loss.
Deportivo Lara 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira
Deportivo Táchira 0-0 Deportivo Lara
Deportivo Lara 3-3 Zulia
Zamora 0-0 Deportivo Lara
Deportivo Lara 3-2 Atlético Venezuela
Independiente: Sitting in 5th place of the Argentinian SuperLiga and coming off better results on their latest matches, having inclusively faced Grêmio twice on the final of the Recopa Sudamericana.
The team that lost its main player coming into the new year, with Barco being transferred to Atlanta United, seems to be on track for a good 2018.
The two matches against Grêmio were matches of great defensive dedication and where they looked to counter-attack, and the team almost won that title, only losing on penalties.
On the last round of the Argentinian league, they rested some player due to fatigue from the final and also to rest them for this Libertadores’ debut, but they still came out on top.
Independiente 1-0 Banfield
Grêmio 0-0 Independiente
Temperley 0-0 Independiente
Independiente 1-1 Grêmio
Colón 0-1 Independiente
Deportivo Lara vs Independiente – Betting Tip and Prediction:
Don’t be scared with the low amount of goals scored by the team on their last couple of matches.
All of those matches were against teams much stronger than Deportivo Lara and against Grêmio, they had lost their best attacker, who was sent-off at the start of the first match.
I can’t see Independiente not winning this match, because on a group with 2 other strong teams, Corinthians and Milionarios, dropping points against Lara might be very costly.
The home advantage isn’t as important for Lara as it is for some other clubs in Venezuela, because they don’t play that high in terms of altitude, which might have been an aspect that would level out this match better.