One of the toughest matches to predict and analyse but that is why I’m here for, to foresee something that is, in the first place, hard to predict.
The 1st leg ended in a Muscovite triumph, with the goal being scored already past the 90th minute. Those who haven’t watched the match might think that this was a closed match, without any emotions or big chances.
The Swiss couldn’t score, but not due to a lack of chances. In that match, Assalé was a pain for the slow Russian defensive line, along with Sulejmani. We also have the strikers Hoarau and Sanogo, all players with enough ability to score in Moscow.
During the pre-season, this same Young Boys side scored 5 goals against Benfica, so we need to keep that in mind.
Their problems are at the back, and even at home against CSKA, despite having more possession, despite playing much better, the defence has crumbled on some key moments, one of them on a penalty kick that wasn’t given in favour of the Russians.
CSKA Moscow vs Young Boys Pick:
These Russians have already played 2 more matches than the Swiss so far, and that can be important, especially during the 2nd half.
I’ve noticed on a small detail from CSKA. Their two league losses were at home, against Lokomotiv and Rubin, where they lost 1-3 and 1-2…
That tells us what? That when the team has to take over the match and control, they struggle and usually concede goals.
\They have also conceded at home against Spartak Moscow on their 2-1 win over their rivals. They have only kept a clean sheet once at home this season, against a recently promoted club.
CSKA is stronger, but the difference isn’t as big as you might think. I’ll say even more, I wouldn’t be shocked to see Young Boys advancing.
But what I find value on in this match, is on the goals market. Both teams have fragile defences. The Russians are slow and will struggle against Assalé and Sanogo.
|Over 2.5 goals||