Braga vs Tondela: Fatigued after a marathon of matches between the Liga NOS and the Europa League
Braga is coming off a 1-0 victory over Marseille, also at home, where they’ve done very well defensively but couldn’t really capitalize on their goal scoring chances.
However, their offensive sector deserves a lot of compliments when it comes to the Portuguese league, being the 3rd best attack of the competition.
And since Rio Ave has been slipping up a lot, Braga doesn’t have much more to do this season, being 7 points behind the 3rd place and having a 12-points advantage over 5th place, while having 1 match in hand.
Tondela: Even after all their opponents having played this round, Tondela is ensured to stay at least in 12th place, with at least a 5-points advantage over the relegation zone.
And despite the close matches they’ve been having, their moment of form isn’t good, with 4 losses on their last 5 matches, where between them the team was able to cause troubles to FC Porto (0-1) and Sporting (1-2).
Tondela is one of the worst hosts and best visitors in the league and a lot of that difference has to do with their defensive posture, that at home is very exposed by their need to attack, and they’ve already conceded 24 goals, double the amount of goals they’ve conceded as visitors, which is 12.
Braga vs Tondela – Betting Tip and Prediction:
Since Tondela has been preparing itself all week for this encounter, it is likely that they will be able to cause Braga some troubles, picking a playstyle with a strong defensive marking.
But the quality difference should stand out at any moment and Tondela’s reasonable attack, that will have the absence of their best striker Murilo and Miguel Nunes, will hardly be able to score against Braga’s good defence.
So I like the value on this bet.